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MBE Advance Access originally published online on November 6, 2008
Molecular Biology and Evolution 2009 26(3):501-512; doi:10.1093/molbev/msn254
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© 2008 The Authors
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0/uk/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.


Research Articles

An Unbiased Estimator of Gene Diversity in Samples Containing Related Individuals

Michael DeGiorgio* and Noah A. Rosenberg*,{dagger}

* Center for Computational Medicine and Biology, University of Michigan
{dagger} Department of Human Genetics and the Life Sciences Institute, University of Michigan

E-mail: degiormi{at}umich.edu.


    Abstract
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
Gene diversity is sometimes estimated from samples that contain inbred or related individuals. If inbred or related individuals are included in a sample, then the standard estimator for gene diversity produces a downward bias caused by an inflation of the variance of estimated allele frequencies. We develop an unbiased estimator for gene diversity that relies on kinship coefficients for pairs of individuals with known relationship and that reduces to the standard estimator when all individuals are noninbred and unrelated. Applying our estimator to data simulated based on allele frequencies observed for microsatellite loci in human populations, we find that the new estimator performs favorably compared with the standard estimator in terms of bias and similarly in terms of mean squared error. For human population-genetic data, we find that a close linear relationship previously seen between gene diversity and distance from East Africa is preserved when adjusting for the inclusion of close relatives.

Key Words: heterozygosity • identity by descent • kinship coefficient


    Introduction
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
Gene diversity, or expected heterozygosity, is a frequently used measure of genetic variation applied in diverse areas of population genetics. Together with its counterpart, gene identity or expected homozygosity, it has been used to quantify genetic variation in populations (Driscoll et al. 2002Go; Hoelzel et al. 2002Go), evaluate genetic divergence and population relationships (Nei 1973Go; Ramachandran et al. 2005Go), detect inbreeding (Li and Horvitz 1953Go), measure linkage disequilibrium (Ohta 1980Go; Sabatti and Risch 2002Go), and test for the influence of natural selection (Watterson 1978Go; Depaulis and Veuille 1998Go; Sabeti et al. 2002Go).

Consider a polymorphic locus with I distinct alleles and a population with parametric allele frequencies p1, p2, ... ,pI, where pi isin [0, 1] and {sum}Formulapi = 1. The term "gene diversity," which is defined as

Formula (1)
was proposed by Nei (1973)Go, though the use of equation (1) as a measure of diversity dates to considerably earlier (Gini 1912Go; Simpson 1949Go; Gibbs and Martin 1962Go).

Now consider a sample of n observations of alleles, in which the number of observations of allelic type i is ni. The count estimate of pi is Formula. If no inbred or related individuals are included in the sample, then an unbiased estimator of gene diversity is (Nei and Roychoudhury 1974Go)

Formula (2)

If relatives or inbred individuals are included in the sample, then Formula is no longer an unbiased estimator of H. To understand why this statement is true, suppose that a sample contains a pair of close relatives. Because these individuals are related, they may share one or two alleles identically by descent (IBD) at a locus (compared with zero alleles shared IBD in unrelated individuals). As a result, estimation of pi is based on fewer independent observations than for a sample not containing any relatives. Although Formula when relatives are included, Formula is greater than it would be had no relatives been included. Observe that the computation of Formula involves a negative coefficient for Formula. Because Formula, Formula decreases as Formula increases. Thus, the inclusion of relatives results in a downward bias, so that Formula. For the case in which inbred unrelated individuals with known inbreeding coefficients are included in a sample, Weir (1989Go, 1996Go) provided the expectation of Formula, producing an unbiased estimator of gene diversity

Formula (3)
where Formula is the average inbreeding coefficient across individuals (see also Shete 2003Go). When inbred individuals are included, Formula !=0, and it follows that Formula

In this article, we conduct a detailed investigation of the case in which a sample includes related individuals. We derive an unbiased estimator of H for samples containing related individuals with known levels of relationship. Our derivation makes use of a formula of Bourgain et al. (2003)Go and McPeek et al. (2004)Go for the variance of count estimates of allele frequencies in samples containing inbred and related individuals. The resulting estimator incorporates kinship coefficients, the same quantitative descriptors of pairwise relationships that have been used in diverse problems involving relatives—such as evaluation of phenotypic covariances in families (Lange 2002Go), estimation of relatedness parameters (Weir et al. 2006Go), and quantitative-trait linkage analysis (Almasy and Blangero 1998Go). When a sample consists only of unrelated noninbred individuals, our new estimator Formula reduces to the standard estimator Formula, and it reduces to Formula if inbred but not related individuals are included. Using data simulated based on allele frequencies from human populations, we find that the new estimator Formula corrects for bias generated by inclusion of related individuals and that it attains a mean squared error (MSE) comparable with that of Formula. We apply this new estimator to microsatellite data from human population samples containing relatives and show that, compared with the standard estimator, it produces estimates closer to those obtained when excluding relatives from the analysis.


    Theory
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
We assume that gene diversity is estimated from n/2 diploid individuals. Our aim is to obtain a bias-correction factor that can be incorporated into a new estimator of gene diversity, Formula We begin by computing Formula in a sample that may include relatives or inbred individuals. Formula was reported by Bourgain et al. (2003)Go and McPeek et al. (2004)Go; we provide an alternative derivation that uses a generalization of the simpler method of Broman (2001)Go. This approach was originally applied in a setting that did not consider inbreeding, and we generalize the computation to include inbreeding. Note that the variances of other estimators of allele frequencies have previously been derived in fairly general settings (McPeek et al. 2004Go) and that the estimator Formula is not a maximum likelihood estimator when related individuals are included in a sample (Boehnke 1991Go). However, our interest here is specifically on the count-based estimator of allele frequencies, as it is this estimator that is used in the standard estimator of gene diversity in equation (2).

Define Xk to be the number of alleles of type i that are carried by individual k at a particular locus. Xk can equal 0, 1, or 2, and E[Xk] = 2pi. Regardless of the relationships among individuals 1, 2, ..., n/2, an unbiased estimator for pi, the frequency of allele i, is

Formula (4)
The variance of Formula is given by

Formula (5)

Suppose that individuals j and k are related. The coefficient of kinship between individuals j and k, {Phi}j,k, is the probability that two alleles chosen at the locus—one from individual j and the other from individual k—are identical by descent. In the special case of j = k, the kinship coefficient is {Phi}k,k = (1/2)(1 + fk), where fk is the inbreeding coefficient for individual k (Lange 2002, p. 81Go).

Conditional on the nature of the relationship between individuals j and k and on their inbreeding coefficients, the four alleles in the two individuals can take on one of nine condensed identity states (Jacquard 1974, p. 107Go). Let {Delta}s = Pr[S = s], where the condensed identity state S ranges from 1 to 9 and the probability is conditional on the type of the relationship. Using table 1 and the fact that the kinship coefficient for the pair of individuals equals {Delta}1 + (1/2)({Delta}3 + {Delta}5 + {Delta}7) + (1/4){Delta}8 (Jacquard, 1974, p. 108Go), we obtain

Formula
Because E[Xj] = E[Xk] = 2pi, it follows that

Formula (6)
Inserting the covariance into equation (5) yields

Formula (7)
where Formula is the average kinship coefficient across pairs of individuals (including comparisons of individuals with themselves). This result can be seen to be equivalent to the variance reported by McPeek et al. (2004, p. 361)Go.


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Table 1 Joint Distribution of the Numbers of i Alleles Carried by Individuals j and k Given Their Descent Configuration S, Assuming Allele i Has Frequency p

 
Proposition 1
Consider a locus with I distinct alleles, allele frequencies pi isin [0, 1] and Formula. Suppose a sample from a population has n/2 possibly related and inbred individuals. Then an unbiased estimator for gene diversity is

Formula (8)
where {Phi}j,k is the kinship coefficient of individuals j and k and Formula is the average kinship coefficient across pairs of individuals.

Proof
We need to show that Formula. Observing that Formula and Formula, we apply equation (4) and then the variance of Formula in equation (7) to get

Formula

Corollary 2
Consider a locus with I distinct alleles, allele frequencies pi isin [0, 1] and Formula. Suppose a sample from a population has n/2 possibly related and inbred individuals. Let R be the set of distinct types of relative pairs in the sample. Further, let nR be the number of pairs of individuals with relationship type Formula and let {Phi}R be the kinship coefficient for each of these pairs. Then an unbiased estimator for gene diversity is

Formula (9)
where Formula is the average inbreeding coefficient across individuals and fk is the inbreeding coefficient for individual k.

Proof
Applying the definitions of Formula and {Phi}k,k and the fact that {Phi}j,k = 0 for a pair of "unrelated" individuals,

Formula
Inserting this value for Formula into equation (8), we obtain the desired result.{square}

Note that if no related individuals are included in the sample, then R is the empty set, thus reducing Formula to Formula; if additionally no inbred individuals are included, then Formula =0 and Formula reduces to Formula.

Corollary 3
Consider a locus with I distinct alleles, allele frequencies pi isin [0, 1] and Formula. Suppose a sample from a population has n/2 noninbred individuals, among which q parent–offspring pairs, r full-sib pairs, and s second-degree (avuncular, grandparent–grandchild, and half-sib) relative pairs are included. Assuming the sample has no other relative pairs, an unbiased estimator for gene diversity is

Formula (10)

Proof
The kinship coefficients are {Phi}P = 1/4 for parent–offspring pairs, {Phi}F = 1/4 for full-sib pairs, and {Phi}S = 1/8 for second-degree pairs. If an individual k is not inbred, then fk = 0. For a sample without inbred individuals, Formula =0. Inserting the quantity and kinship coefficient for each of the three types of relative pairs into equation (9), we obtain equation (10).{square}

Corollary 4
Consider a locus with I distinct alleles, allele frequencies pi isin [0, 1] and Formula. Suppose a sample from a population has n/2 possibly related and inbred individuals. Let R be the set of distinct types of relative pairs in the sample. Further, let nR be the number of pairs of individuals with relationship type RisinR and let {Phi}R be the kinship coefficient for each of these pairs. Then the bias of Formula is always negative, increases in magnitude as H increases, and is given by

Formula (11)
where Formula is the average inbreeding coefficient across individuals and fk is the inbreeding coefficient for individual k.

Proof
As shown in Corollary 2, Formula, where c=n(n–1)/[n(n–1–Formula )–8{sum}RisinRnR{Phi}R]. Rearranging and taking the expected value gives Formula. The desired result follows from simplifying the expression for Formula, or (1 – c)H/c.{square}


    Data from Human Populations
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
To examine the behavior of Formula in a realistic setting, we performed simulations and data analysis using microsatellite loci from the H1048 and H952 subsets (Rosenberg 2006Go) of the Human Genome Diversity Project–Centre d'Etude du Polymorphisme Humain (HGDP–CEPH) Cell Line Panel (Cann et al. 2002Go; Cavalli-Sforza 2005Go). The H1048 subset consists of 1,048 individuals in 53 populations. Among the 53 populations, the samples from 26 of them contain at least one pair of closely related individuals with either a first-degree (parent–offspring, full-sib) or second-degree (avuncular, grandparent–grandchild, and half-sib) relationship (table 2). The H952 subset is a collection of 952 individuals included in the larger H1048 subset. No two of the 952 individuals are believed to have a first- or second-degree relationship. Levels of relationship in H1048, as estimated previously from microsatellite genotypes (Rosenberg 2006Go), were treated here as known with certainty. Because no cycles were observed in pedigrees from the HGDP–CEPH panel (Rosenberg 2006Go), we assumed that none of the panel members were inbred. Genotypes at 783 autosomal microsatellite loci (Ramachandran et al. 2005Go; Rosenberg et al. 2005Go) were investigated in the H1048 and H952 data sets.


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Table 2 The 26 Populations Containing Relatives in the H1048 Data Set (Modified from Rosenberg 2006Go, Supplementary tables 16 and 19)

 

    Simulations
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
Simulation Procedure
Simulations based on the microsatellite loci were used to examine the properties of Formula and Formula. For each of the 783 loci, we treated allele frequencies estimated from the H952 subset of individuals as true allele frequencies. The parametric gene diversity H was obtained for a locus as one minus the sum of the squares of these allele frequencies. All of our simulations assumed no inbreeding.

For a given locus, individual genotypes were simulated by sampling two alleles independently from the allele frequency distribution. To simulate a related individual with a given level of relationship to another individual, the number of alleles shared IBD with its relative was drawn under the appropriate probability distribution for the specified type of relative pair (parent–offspring, full-sib, or second-degree). This number of shared alleles (0, 1, or 2) was copied from a random individual that had already been generated and that had not yet been paired with a relative; if the number of alleles copied was 1, then an allele was chosen at random from the previously generated individual. The rest of the alleles, if any, were sampled independently from the allele frequency distribution. Gene diversity was estimated using Formula and Formula for samples with and without related individuals. We applied Formula both to entire samples as well to samples in which the "second" member of each relative pair was discarded. For each locus, simulated sets of individuals were obtained 100,000 times, and Formula, Formula, Formula, and Formula were averaged across all replicates. The true value for gene diversity, H, was then subtracted from the mean of Formula and Formula to calculate bias for each estimator (and the result was squared to give bias squared). Variance of Formula was calculated by subtracting the square of the mean of Formula from the mean of Formula (variance of Formula was calculated analogously). MSE was then calculated by adding variance and bias squared. Note that in our simulations, relative pairs were all disjoint, so that no individual was contained in multiple relative pairs; however, in our derivations, it is not required for relative pairs to be disjoint for Formula to be unbiased.

Simulation Results
To illustrate the performance of the estimators across the span of gene diversities present in the human microsatellite data set, loci were placed in increasing order by assumed parametric gene diversity, and six equally spaced loci—with the 112th, 224th, 336th, 448th, 560th, and 672nd highest values of gene diversity—were chosen for analysis. Similar results were obtained with all six loci (data not shown), and therefore, among the six loci only the locus with the lowest gene diversity (AAT263P, H = 0.6778) and the locus with the highest gene diversity (ACT3F12, H = 0.8263) were chosen for display. For both loci, table 3 shows the simulated MSE, variance, and bias squared for the different estimators, considering three different sample sizes and three combinations of the number of related individuals for each sample size. Because the simulation results are based on 100,000 replicate data sets, each of the quantities presented is small. However, it is possible to observe differences in the properties of the three estimators. Among the three estimators, Formula applied to full samples gives the lowest variance, Formula produces slightly higher variance, and Formula applied to samples with related individuals removed produces the highest variance. Bias squared is very close to zero for Formula applied to samples with related individuals removed, as well as for Formula, but it is noticeably higher for Formula applied to full samples containing relatives. For the locus with the lower value of H (0.6778), Formula applied to full samples has the smallest MSE in all cases tested, although Formula has MSE very close to that of Formula. However, for the locus with the higher value of H (0.8263), MSE is always smallest for Formula. Therefore, Formula is not only unbiased, but it also has MSE comparable with—and sometimes smaller than—that of Formula.


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Table 3 MSE, Variance, and Bias Squared of Estimates for Data Simulated Based on Allele Frequencies at Two Loci (AAT263P and ACT3F12)

 
It is instructive to investigate the influence of specific variables on the MSE, variance, and bias squared of Formula and Formula, by varying the simulation parameters over the space of gene diversities, sample sizes, and possible sets of relative pairs, and calculating MSE, variance, and bias squared for each scenario. We use Formula and Formula to denote Formula and Formula applied to a sample of individuals. For Formula applied to a sample in which related individuals are removed, we use the notation Formula.

Figure 1 displays the effect of sample size on MSE for each of the estimators, for scenarios in which all simulated individuals belong to relative pairs of a particular type. Here, the full and reduced samples consist of m and m/2 individuals, respectively. When q = m/2, r = m/2, or s = m/2, MSE is consistently lower for Formula and Formula (which have virtually identical MSE and therefore have overlapping lines in the graph) than for Formula. As the sample size increases, the MSEs of all estimators approach zero.


Figure 1
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FIG. 1.— MSE as a function of sample size m for three different estimators. Each plot in a given row represents samples with a different type of relative pair. The numbers of parent–offspring, full-sib, and second-degree pairs are denoted by q, r, and s, respectively. The full and reduced samples contain m and m/2 individuals, respectively. The Formula curve is almost directly on top of the Formula curve. (A) Allele frequencies simulated based on observed frequencies at locus AAT263P (H = 0.6778). (B) Allele frequencies simulated based on observed frequencies at locus ACT3F12 (H = 0.8263). The range of the plots is truncated at 0.02, so that the MSE for small sample sizes is not shown. Each point in the graphs is based on 100,000 simulated data sets, and the same simulated data were used for all three estimators.

 
We next examined how the three estimators performed in simulated samples containing the same sample size and total number of relative pairs but with different combinations involving different numbers of parent–offspring, full-sib, and second-degree pairs. The same two loci that were analyzed in table 3 and figure 1 were investigated to show the effect of the combination of relative pairs at differing degrees of gene diversity. Figures 2 and 3 illustrate MSE, variance, and bias squared for each estimator as functions of the combination of types of relative pairs in a full sample of size 40 and a reduced sample of size 20 individuals. Each point in a triangle represents the number of parent–offspring, full-sib, and second-degree relative pairs in a sample; the sum of these quantities is equal to half the sample size. MSE and variance are always lower for Formula and Formula than for Formula, which relies on a smaller sample size, and Formula and Formula show similar trends. Bias squared for the unbiased Formula is similar to that for Formula, which eliminates relatives from the sample, whereas it is much larger for Formula. As the number of first-degree pairs is increased (decreasing the number of second-degree pairs), both variance and MSE increase. For Formula, as can be predicted from equation (11), bias squared also increases with an increase in the number of first-degree pairs. Because they are both unbiased estimators, Formula and Formula display no particular pattern for bias squared.


Figure 2
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FIG. 2.— Heat maps of simulated MSE, variance, and bias squared for each estimator applied to a full sample of 40 and a reduced sample of 20 individuals, as functions of the mixture of types of relative pairs included in the sample. The simulation was based on allele frequencies at the AAT263P locus (H = 0.6778). The sample of 40 individuals includes q parent–offspring, r full-sib, and s second-degree pairs. The three vertices correspond to samples that contain either all parent–offspring, all full-sib, or all second-degree pairs. Moving horizontally along the triangle changes the numbers of parent–offspring and full-sib pairs in the sample and moving vertically changes the number of second-degree pairs. The numbers indicated on the scale are the cutoff values for each color. Each row of triangles represents a different estimator, and each column represents a different statistic. Blue and black dots represent the points at which the smallest and largest values occur in each triangle, respectively. Each point in the graphs is based on 100,000 simulated data sets, and the same simulations were used for all three estimators.

 

Figure 3
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FIG. 3.— Heat maps of simulated MSE, variance, and bias squared for each estimator applied to a full sample of 40 and a reduced sample of 20 individuals, as functions of the mixture of types of relative pairs included in the sample. The simulation was based on allele frequencies at the ACT3F12 locus (H = 0.8263). See figure 2 caption for additional details.

 
Finally, we studied the trends in MSE, variance, and bias squared for the estimators over the space of gene diversities, holding the full sample size fixed at 30 individuals and the reduced sample size fixed at 15. Unlike the analyses in table 3 and figures 13, which show results based on two representative loci, this analysis used simulations based on all 783 microsatellites. We considered a scenario in which the sample of 30 individuals consisted of 15 parent–offspring pairs. Figure 4 illustrates that for all three estimators, MSE and variance tend to decrease as gene diversity increases. Because Formula and Formula are both unbiased, bias squared shows no trend for these estimators. However, because bias for Formula is linear with respect to gene diversity (eq. 11), bias squared is quadratic. On the basis of equation (11), we predict Formula , and a close match to this prediction was observed. The regression displayed in figure 4 has regression model Formula.


Figure 4
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FIG. 4.— MSE, variance, and bias squared for each estimator applied to a full sample of 30 and a reduced sample of 15 individuals, as functions of parametric gene diversity, considering simulated values based on each of the 783 loci. The simulations incorporated 30 individuals in 15 parent–offspring pairs. (A) Formula. A quadratic regression of bias squared on H (with the constant and linear terms forced to be 0) is given by (7.187 x 10–5)H2, with R2 = 0.959. The Spearman correlation coefficient is –0.8364 for H and MSE and –0.8394 for H and variance. (B) Formula. The Spearman correlation coefficient is –0.8394 for H and MSE and –0.8394 for H and variance. (C) Formula. The Spearman correlation coefficient is –0.8447 for H and MSE and –0.8447 for H and variance. Each point in the graphs is based on 100,000 simulated data sets, and the same simulations were used for all three estimators.

 
Three main results can be observed in our simulations. First, Formula is unbiased and has comparable bias in samples containing relatives to that obtained by applying Formula to samples with relatives removed. Using Formula, or excluding relatives and using Formula, reduces the bias compared with using Formula without excluding relatives. Second, Formula has comparable (but consistently slightly higher) variance to the values obtained with Formula in samples containing relatives. Both Formula and Formula have lower variance in full samples of individuals than that of Formula in reduced samples that exclude relatives. Third, because Formula has less bias than Formula in samples containing relatives, Formula has comparable, and sometimes smaller, MSE to Formula (although its variance is larger). Both estimators have lower MSE than Formula applied to subsets that exclude relatives.

The properties of the estimators depend on a number of parameters. All estimators have lower MSE as sample size increases. In addition, the MSEs of Formula and Formula are smaller when second-degree relative pairs are investigated, in comparison to scenarios that include an equivalent number of first-degree pairs. Furthermore, the MSEs of Formula and Formula are generally smaller for loci with larger gene diversities, with the magnitude of the bias of Formula increasing linearly with increasing gene diversity.

We can conclude that for samples containing relatives, Formula has comparable variance to Formula, with a considerable reduction of bias. Formula has comparable bias in a full sample to that of Formula applied to a reduced sample excluding relatives, with a considerable reduction of variance. Thus, Formula combines into a single estimator the desirable properties possessed by Formula applied to samples with relatives and by Formula applied to samples without relatives.


    Application to Data
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
Notation
For convenience, we use the following notation: Formula and Formula for application of Formula to the samples of 952 and 1,048 individuals, respectively, and Formula and Formula for application of Formula to these samples. Note that because the H952 data set contains no relative pairs, Formula, and there is no need to consider Formula separately. We also use the notation Formula, Formula, and Formula when restricting our analysis to the 26 populations containing at least one relative pair; for each of the 27 remaining populations, the estimators Formula and Formula produce identical values.

Mean of the Estimator
For investigating the properties of Formula and Formula applied to the H1048 data set, because the true value of H is unknown for the actual data, we treated the value of Formula for each locus as a substitute "true" value. Because Formula is unbiased when applied to data not containing relatives, Formula provides a sensible proxy for the unknown true gene diversity. This approach enabled us to consider how estimates of H from data including relatives might differ from estimates based on the same data excluding all relatives. For each of the 53 populations, we computed the means of Formula, Formula, and Formula across the 783 microsatellite loci. Because the true H is unknown and bias cannot be calculated, we instead examine the mean of Formula across loci minus the mean of Formula across loci and the mean of Formula across loci minus the mean of Formula across loci.

Figure 5 shows comparisons of the mean of Formula across loci and the mean of Formula across loci. In general, the three estimators produce similar estimates in a given population. However, notice that in figure 5A, Formula is reduced compared with Formula, a likely consequence of the bias of Formula when applied to samples containing relatives. When Formula is used in place of Formula, because Formula corrects for the inclusion of known related individuals, there is a considerable reduction in the magnitude of the difference between the mean of the estimator (Formula or Formula) across loci and the mean of Formula across loci (fig. 5B). These observations are reflected in Wilcoxon signed rank tests that compare paired lists of mean heterozygosities across loci for the 53 populations (table 4). The P value for a comparison of Formula with Formula was 8.804 x 10–6, suggesting that inclusion of relatives in a sample has a statistically significant impact on Formula. In contrast, Formula and Formula showed no significant difference, with a P value of 0.703 for the Wilcoxon signed rank test. Similar results were obtained for other comparisons of the three estimators. The mean across populations of Formula was smaller than for Formula; the same was true for the mean of Formula compared with the mean of Formula.


Figure 5
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FIG. 5.— Comparison of the mean of Formula and the mean of Formula. Each population is represented by a point colored based on the geographic location of the population, and the dotted line represents zero difference between the full-data estimator and Formula. Because 27 of the 53 populations do not contain related individuals, the gene diversities given by Formula and Formula are the same for these populations. (A) The mean of Formula, displaying a reduction of Formula when applied to samples containing related individuals. (B) The mean of Formula, displaying a decrease in the magnitude of the difference between the full-data estimator and Formula.

 

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Table 4 Statistical Tests Applied to the Mean Gene Diversity across Loci

 
Comparable results were obtained when using only the 26 populations that contained relative pairs. The Wilcoxon signed rank test produced a statistically significant P value of 2.980 x 10–8 for Formula compared with Formula and a nonsignificant P value of 0.708 when comparing Formula with Formula. The mean across populations of Formula was smaller than for Formula, as was the mean of Formula relative to that of Formula. In addition, similar numbers of populations had Formula and Formula; by contrast, there were no populations with Formula.

Because estimators often have a trade-off between bias and variance, we investigated the relationship between the mean values across loci of Formula and Formula and the standard deviations of Formula and Formula across loci. We observed that compared with Formula, Formula produces a noticeable decrease in the mean difference from Formula with only a slight increase in the standard deviation (fig. 6). This result is somewhat analogous to the simulation-based result that Formula has less bias than Formula and comparable variance.


Figure 6
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FIG. 6.— Comparison of the mean difference of an estimator (Formula or Formula) from Formula with the standard deviation of the estimator. Each population is represented by a point colored based on the geographic location of the population. Open and filled circles represent the estimates for Formula and Formula, respectively.

 
Gene Diversity versus Distance from Africa
Based on an observed decline of gene diversity estimates with geographic distance from East Africa, Ramachandran et al. (2005)Go argued that the geographic expansion of modern humans can be described by a series of founder events originating in Africa. This analysis utilized the Formula estimator applied to the 783 microsatellites typed in the H1048 subset of individuals, excluding the Surui population. To evaluate how the results of Ramachandran et al. (2005)Go were affected by the bias of Formula in samples with close relatives, we analyzed the relationships of the three estimators of gene diversity—Formula, Formula, and Formula—with geographic distance from East Africa (fig. 7). Distance from Addis Ababa was measured in kilometers via waypoint routes and was based on the values from Rosenberg et al. (2005)Go.


Figure 7
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FIG. 7.— Gene diversity versus geographic distance from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. (A) Formula versus distance from Addis Ababa. The linear regression is given by H = 0.7778 – (7.955 x 10–6) x distance, with R2 = 0.856. (B) Formula versus distance from Addis Ababa. The linear regression is given by H = 0.7809 – (8.595 x 10–6) x distance, with R2 = 0.844. (C) Formula versus distance from Addis Ababa. The linear regression is given by H = 0.7792 – (8.161 x 10–6) x distance, with R2 = 0.849.

 
The three estimators produced relatively similar regressions (fig. 7), demonstrating that the close linear relationship of gene diversity and distance from Africa is not greatly affected by inclusion of relatives in the analysis. We observed very similar values for the coefficients of determination (R2) of linear regressions when using Formula, Formula, and Formula (note that all three R2 values are higher than that reported by Ramachandran et al. (2005)Go, whose lower value resulted from an error in the calculation of their fig. 4A). The Surui population, which has the smallest gene diversity and is the farthest population from Addis Ababa, deviates considerably from the regression line when using Formula to measure gene diversity (fig. 7B). When excluding the large number of relatives present in the Surui sample (Formula) or correcting for their inclusion (Formula), the Surui population is not as extreme an outlier (fig. 7A and C).


    Discussion
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
In this article, we have developed an unbiased estimator Formula for gene diversity in samples containing related and inbred individuals. The bias-correction factor in this estimator, which we derived from the variance of allele frequency estimates, depends only on the average kinship coefficient between pairs of sampled individuals. Using data simulated based on allele frequency distributions from human populations, we found that Formula performs well with regard to both bias and MSE. The bias generated by Formula applied to data including relatives is approximately the same as the bias generated by the standard estimator Formula applied to data containing only unrelated individuals. The MSE for Formula is comparable to—and often smaller than—the MSE of Formula when related individuals are included. Calculation of Formula relies only on sample allele frequencies and on the average kinship coefficient and is therefore easy to perform when relationships among individuals are known. Thus, the new estimator Formula offers a combination of unbiasedness, low MSE, and ease of computation, providing an improved approach to the estimation of gene diversity in samples containing relatives.

Using data from human populations, we found that Formula largely corrected a reduction in the standard estimator Formula, producing estimates that were not significantly different from those obtained if we instead removed relatives from the data set and applied Formula. This shift toward the values obtained in data without relatives occurred together with only a slight increase in standard deviation across loci relative to Formula. However, by treating dependent observations as independent, Formula perhaps produces a smaller variance than is appropriate in samples with relatives. Thus, we conclude that as an alternative to removing relatives from samples containing relative pairs, Formula can be applied to obtain suitable gene diversity estimates.

When we applied Formula to the human data, a few populations still produced a "bias," in that Formula remained considerably lower than Formula. The most noticeable of these populations are the Surui, Karitiana, and Pima populations from the Americas (fig. 5B); the "bias" was larger for these low-diversity populations, whereas theory predicts less bias when diversity is lower (eq. 11). It should first be noted that unlike for the other populations, inferences about second-degree relationships obtained by Rosenberg (2006)Go were somewhat uncertain for the Surui and Karitiana populations. Thus, table 2 and our analysis did not include inferred second-degree relationships in those populations, when in fact many are likely to be present. This is a likely reason why the "bias" in the Surui and Karitiana populations was only partially eliminated. For the Pima population, a likely explanation is that the sample contains many related individuals in extended families (Rosenberg, 2006Go), and our computation only adjusted for first- and second-degree relative pairs. If these higher order relationships had been fully known, however, it would have been possible to use our estimator to adjust for them.

Our estimator adjusts for inbreeding by averaging over inbreeding coefficients for sampled individuals. It is important to note that the inbreeding coefficients that we have included are exact values obtained from pedigrees. If an estimated inbreeding coefficient was used in place of the exact value, then Formula would not necessarily produce unbiased estimates in samples containing inbred individuals. Formula would also lead to a bias if relationships were misspecified. In our data example, relationships were assumed to be known, and for a data set of the size used for inferring the relationships (Rosenberg 2006Go) this assumption is generally sensible. However, for small data sets in which relationship inferences are uncertain, caution must be used when interpreting the bias of Formula applied to the same data from which relationships are estimated.

The estimators we have considered relate to within-population gene diversity. What if we consider the gene diversity between populations? Suppose we have samples from two populations, A and B, each containing related inbred individuals. The between-population analog of gene diversity is Formula, where Formula and Formula are estimates of the frequency of allele i at a given locus in populations A and B, respectively (Nei 1987Go). Because the bias in within-population gene diversity estimates only arises from the quadratic Formula term in equation (1), Formula (Nei 1987, p. 222Go), and Formula continues to be an unbiased estimator for between-population gene diversity in samples containing relatives.


    Acknowledgements
 TOP
 Abstract
 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 
We thank Ivana Jankovic, Yi-Ju Li, and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments. This work was supported by NIH training grant T32 GM070449, NIH grant R01 GM081441, and grants from the Burroughs Welcome Fund and the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation.


    Footnotes
 
Yi-Ju Li, Associate Editor


    References
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 Introduction
 Theory
 Data from Human Populations
 Simulations
 Application to Data
 Discussion
 Acknowledgements
 References
 

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Accepted for publication October 23, 2008.


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M. DeGiorgio, M. Jakobsson, and N. A. Rosenberg
Out of Africa: Modern Human Origins Special Feature: Explaining worldwide patterns of human genetic variation using a coalescent-based serial founder model of migration outward from Africa
PNAS, September 22, 2009; 106(38): 16057 - 16062.
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